Afraid-Dissemination
0x6e8cff65149ee2a3f253a91e3ce8be199fd14049
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$149.55
Total PnL
$-10.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$149.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20?
533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
170 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$150.01Jun 4, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$150.30Jun 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$150.01Jun 3, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$149.95May 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$148.10May 29, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$148.38May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$146.97May 24, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$146.15May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$146.01May 22, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$146.15May 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$146.01May 19, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$146.44May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$146.02May 17, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$145.77May 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$143.14May 15, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$143.14May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$143.01May 13, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$143.33May 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$129.64May 13, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.20May 12, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $119.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".