Substantial-Mycoplasma
0x6ea4565ee3b429567d41b57c6f5dcfcd69549cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$560.65
Total PnL
$-46.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$460.16
$217.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
486 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.50
$-217.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.58
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.28
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.69
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?$7.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 14?$6.701h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?$8.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 14?$9.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?$7.801h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?$7.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?$6.501h ago
- MERGEWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 14?$9.301h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?$6.901h ago
- YIELD$0.066h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?$2.0012h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?$1.9014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 12?$1.2014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 12?$1.5014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 12?$1.5021h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 12?$1.301d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 12?$1.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?$1.301d ago
- YIELD$0.061d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
