Lone-Dibble
0x6eae730427175ac7e7795e8307abd9050cb11916
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$234.90
Total PnL
$-811.04
Realised
$26.19
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 40.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.62
$23.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
89 shares @ 48.4¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.25
$11.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 25.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 84.9¢·now 76.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.84
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.16
$4.16
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.93
$8.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 34.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
4 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.72
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$5.15Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.70Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.65Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.60Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.55Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.50Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.45Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$3.40Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $660?$1.00Jul 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $670?$1.00Jul 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 20 2026?$1.00Jul 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of July 20 2026?$1.00Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of July 20 2026?$1.00Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.01Jul 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.06Jul 22, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 22, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.03Jul 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.01Jul 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$1.01Jul 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$2.00Jul 22, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.