Tan-Benefit
0x6eaf72a125b381f1b33219560b4a848c14c5e155
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$159.69
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
5870 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 30?
4682 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?
4496 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?
4226 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?
2467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?
2231 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?
2040 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-31.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?
2002 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
1840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?
1792 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$3.78Apr 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.01Apr 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.01Apr 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.09Apr 30, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.09Apr 30, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.17Apr 30, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.09Apr 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.09Apr 30, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$0.16Apr 30, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$2.12Apr 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$2.14Apr 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$2.93Apr 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$1.28Apr 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.60Apr 29, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$1.00Apr 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.22Apr 29, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$0.16Apr 29, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.