Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?

1. 1

   Down 10pp over 24h

   Now 22¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 123h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $15.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.