Modest-Waiter
0x6eb00d0110c6062688d6d752b4e8a4c4fea4098b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$85.76
Total PnL
$-30.49
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.07
$1.07
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$29.63
$6.52
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
17 shares @ 29.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.70
$0.29
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.06Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.15Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.30Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.96Jun 13, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.68Jun 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.06Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.20Jun 12, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.06Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.88Jun 10, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.07Jun 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.06Jun 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.07Jun 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.20Jun 4, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jun 4, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.05Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.50Jun 3, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.08Jun 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.08Jun 1, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.10Jun 1, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.68Jun 1, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.