Embellished-Crane
0x6eb3858cb9c1176d0559178501815a6e32a7573a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$63.93
Total PnL
$-368.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
530 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.54
$-10.86
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
754 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.38
$-9.05
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
5010 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.04
- YES
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be at least 400k?
1250 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-74.10
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
153 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-44.37
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
130 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
100 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.90
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
67 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$45.90Jun 5, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$51.00Jun 2, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$44.37Apr 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$39.25Apr 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$21.70Apr 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$26.95Apr 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$2.57Apr 4, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.30Apr 4, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.11Apr 4, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$11.83Apr 4, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$36.60Apr 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$50.00Apr 4, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$5.70Mar 24, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$49.50Mar 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$34.00Mar 24, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$90.00Mar 24, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$37.80Mar 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$20.04Mar 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$41.90Mar 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?$99.50Mar 4, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".