Honorable-Degree
0x6edadbb7fce7275fc8c9a7253562f0bb4b15db5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.59
Total PnL
$-38.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
24 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
22 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
North Korea missile launch by October 31?
22 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Amazon say "China" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 8?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$5.07Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.21Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.02Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$5.24Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$5.21Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.32Jun 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$5.15Jun 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.17Jun 7, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$1.02Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$1.02Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.03Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?$1.03Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$2.05Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$5.07Jun 7, 15:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.