Powerful-Message
0x6ee6321d1f4e42b8188f3759557a2c3063444d8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$-78.75
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
2 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-3.40
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 41.4¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
12 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
12 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.01Jul 20, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.01Jul 20, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$1.01Jun 29, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$2.01Jun 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.41Jun 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.98Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.04Jun 9, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.09Apr 2, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.33Apr 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.00Mar 19, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.10Mar 16, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.00Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.00Mar 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.26Mar 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?$0.83Mar 6, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.00Mar 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.00Mar 6, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.