0x6ef9c7afb65f2a612f018fa77cd1b6a1095a0737
0x6ef9c7afb65f2a612f018fa77cd1b6a1095a0737
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$23.28
Total PnL
$-56.14
Realised
$-28.25
Win rate
35%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.00
$3.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.00
$2.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- NO
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
4 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.92
$0.05
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.22
$0.02
- NO
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.09
$0.03
- NO
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.05
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.00
$0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?
63 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 10?
33 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?$0.00Jun 19, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?$0.00Jun 19, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?$0.00Jun 19, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?$0.00Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 22?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 9?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 23?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 9?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 23?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 16?$0.00Jun 11, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.