Severe-Anklet
0x6f1e2e7fe230082a6c5b6fee7f620ccbef155d4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$66.32
Total PnL
$-86.35
Realised
$-1.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
51 shares @ 19.8¢·now 74.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$37.80
$27.80
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 1?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.22
$-0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?
9 shares @ 89.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.00
$-0.74
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
28 shares @ 35.7¢·now 19.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$5.35
$-4.65
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 31?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.91
$-3.14
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 75.6¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?
62 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- ABEDALLAH SHELBAYH
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Abedallah Shelbayh
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- ELLA SEIDEL
Livesport Prague Open: Ella Seidel vs Daria Snigur
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
13 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 31?$8.15Jul 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 1?$7.36Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$9.90Jul 27, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?$7.80Jul 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$4.68Jul 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$10.32Jul 25, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.32Jul 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.05Jul 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$8.08Jul 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$4.25Jul 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$8.35Jul 23, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$11.87Jul 22, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 22?$10.40Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$8.48Jul 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 22?$8.23Jul 21, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBloomfield Hills: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo$9.98Jul 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo$10.25Jul 20, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Taro Daniel$9.80Jul 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Taro Daniel$10.24Jul 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24?$8.82Jul 20, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.