Noxious-Rib
0x6f2635a5299351b9e45b2edb34927aff038393bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$61.58
Total PnL
$-159.33
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
29 shares @ 88.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.17
$-4.35
- NO
Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 23?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$18.91
$0.30
- YES
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?
80 shares @ 35.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.40
$-13.60
- YES
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?
40 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$-0.38
- YES
Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?
1 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$0.03
$-0.00
- NO
Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?
101 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.06
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 22?
40 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on August 23?$0.24Aug 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on August 23?$11.37Aug 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Columbus, OH face tornado risk on August 23?$13.59Aug 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on August 23?$0.30Aug 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus, OH face tornado risk on August 23?$13.95Aug 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on August 23?$11.43Aug 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 23?$0.30Aug 23, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 23?$0.36Aug 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 23?$1.20Aug 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 23?$18.67Aug 23, 16:01 UTC
- REWARD$18.73Aug 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Communist" or "Communism" on Truth Social this week?$24.48Aug 22, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Communist" or "Communism" on Truth Social this week?$1.25Aug 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNext White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?$1.27Aug 22, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?$1.32Aug 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?$36.00Aug 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?$0.49Aug 22, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?$36.40Aug 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?$1.05Aug 22, 00:39 UTC
- REWARD$9.01Aug 22, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $22.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.