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EntertainmentExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Probability

46¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$147.48

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5988.1h

    LOW
  • 11:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5988h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (63.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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