Jolly-Petitioner
0x6f350ec52a12866ffcfdf425f8e833ff9e831a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.44
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- TEAM YANDEX
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)
8570 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.57
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
895 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?
277 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
162 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
20 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.69Apr 15, 09:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.