Crushing-Laughter
0x6f609c36bb6a0253721da15f17a68d6d2adac757
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$28.60
Total PnL
$-67.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
29 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$28.60
$12.87
- YES
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
62 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.69
- NO
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-31.95
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-29.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$15.94Jul 1, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$19.98Jul 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00Jul 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.49Jun 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.19Jun 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$28.46Jun 23, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 12?$14.03Jun 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$38.00Jun 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 12?$12.00Jun 10, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$52.94Jun 10, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 12?$2.00Jun 10, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$53.00Jun 10, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$29.60Jun 2, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Sabres$29.00May 21, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?$37.00May 21, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?$19.08May 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$13.27May 7, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?$29.78May 7, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$8.01May 7, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$16.02May 7, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $26.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.