Relieved-Ruffle-Heritage
0x6f62a3ce870c5eef55d64e2c8b025f5eb0dba912
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$64.63
Total PnL
$-86.16
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 85.4¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 80.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$6.61
$1.60
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-09?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$3.62
$-0.38
- ATLÉTICO SAN LUIS
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 21.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.89
$-2.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SK Brann Kvinner win on 2026-08-05?$2.25Aug 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)$3.07Aug 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?$3.13Aug 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Brann Kvinner win on 2026-08-05?$2.01Aug 5, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMF Breiðablik win on 2026-08-04?$2.03Aug 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?$2.06Aug 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$1.02Aug 4, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.06Aug 3, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?$1.05Aug 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.2% in July?$1.05Aug 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$1.03Aug 3, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?$3.06Aug 3, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07?$3.04Aug 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)$2.06Aug 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-09?$4.08Aug 3, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambridge United FC win on 2026-08-08?$2.05Aug 2, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$1.03Aug 2, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.