Hard-Faith
0x6f6cc5dc30af136d35bca2e83533356e1edd1c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$13.34
Total PnL
$3.70
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$6.90
$4.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11AM ET
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 81.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10AM ET
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
12 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Aug 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10AM ET$1.04Aug 19, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11AM ET$1.08Aug 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 19?$1.04Aug 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$2.15Jul 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$2.13Jul 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET$0.90Jul 2, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET$4.61Jul 2, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET$1.10Jul 2, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET$5.27Jul 2, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$14.71Jun 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jun 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$10.50May 20, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.94Apr 30, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.05Apr 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.89Feb 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.