Purple-Apology
0x6f7785fac6fb9500945fa49df7df4d0e55482b2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?
1921 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.21
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?
1150 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?
1133 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
980 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
586 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?
571 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
530 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?
457 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$72.64Jul 19, 21:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 6.5$72.46Jul 18, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 6.5$50.77Jul 18, 22:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-16? AND Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-16?$48.45Jul 15, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-15? AND Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15? AND Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15? AND Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-15?$80.32Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-15? AND Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15? AND Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15? AND Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-15?$49.99Jul 15, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$151.65Jul 14, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$439.82Jul 12, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-2.5) AND Spread: England (-2.5) AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$264.83Jul 12, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$366.54Jul 12, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $109.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.