Ill-Informed-Decisionmaking
0x6f7b27de0603266f4def5f2b5711aa4127481893
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.5K
Total PnL
$264.27
Realised
$14.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
4516 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.4K
$185.17
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
3589 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$17.95
- NO
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
2894 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.8K
$75.25
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
2500 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$103.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
2237 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$104.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
2078 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$-93.53
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$399.75
$149.75
- NO
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
289 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$285.60
$9.82
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.25
$-149.75
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.46
$0.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$920.00Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$10.24Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$367.57Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.45Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.44Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.43Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.42Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $362.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.