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PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$26.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5988.4h

    LOW
  • 11:34Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5988h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will Trump pardon before 2027?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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