Apprehensive-Flesh
0x6f80d8745947e7674f3252e6b1ee78b874bf2200
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$27.41
Total PnL
$-14.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$13.04
$10.04
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$1.77
- YES
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$1.57
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$-2.16
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
24 shares @ 12.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-1.55
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
146 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
39 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Jan 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Jan 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Jan 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Jan 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$3.50Jan 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?$2.50Jan 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?$3.00Jan 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$2.84Jan 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.82Jan 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$1.20Jan 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$2.00Jan 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$4.00Jan 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$3.00Jan 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Jan 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?$3.00Jan 11, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.