0x6f91d3b24dee8844750d317b3793185ef770fbef
0x6f91d3b24dee8844750d317b3793185ef770fbef
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
162
Open notional
$23.33
Total PnL
$-331.60
Realised
$-0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
11 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.93
$9.62
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.35
$0.31
- NO
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.99
$0.96
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
11 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.06
$-7.65
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
19 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
15 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
10 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$0.00Apr 6, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.50Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.50Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.63Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$2.40Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.61Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.00Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.70Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.00Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$4.08Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$3.63Apr 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.98Apr 1, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.41Apr 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.70Apr 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.59Apr 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.53Apr 1, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.18Apr 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.80Apr 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.39Apr 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$3.54Apr 1, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.