Trim-Reach
0x6fa62e119b5a8db0afe9e4593c1f53ed7b8d79c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-315.86
Realised
$-122.52
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
2500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
111 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 3 United States?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
64 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-39.54
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 3 United States?
50 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
United States leading at halftime?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.40Jul 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$8.05Jul 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$6.50Jul 8, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out by July 7?$7.20Jul 7, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?$0.00Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?$0.00Jul 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$1.98Jul 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$30.00Jul 5, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.07Jul 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.05Jul 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.07Jul 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$3.52Jul 5, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.14Jul 5, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.10Jul 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.00Jul 5, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.06Jul 5, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?$1.00Jul 3, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?$2.45Jul 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?$2.10Jul 2, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.