Numb-Consul
0x6ffa52170939295139abeb4a85d82a44f76ed72d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
193
Open notional
$8.91
Total PnL
$-235.05
Realised
$0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.11
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$3.13Jul 23, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.00Jul 20, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.41Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.15Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.69Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$3.03Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.04Jul 19, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.03Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5$1.02Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$1.01Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. Spain?$1.03Jul 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$1.02Jul 19, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 19, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$1.02Jul 19, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1.04Jul 19, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.03Jul 19, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 19, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMEngland to score first vs. France?$2.70Jul 18, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-18?$4.00Jul 18, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: France O/U 0.5$1.14Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.