Natural-Stage
0x70081c637d61f1d402732d40936fb9568c9d6352
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.76
Total PnL
$-231.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Plovdiv host Eurovision 2027?
113 shares @ 8.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$-8.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?
241 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-86.95
- YES
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
185 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
129 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will GERB-SDS win between 55-59 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
85 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
65 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
23 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?$58.50May 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?$31.11May 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?$10.10May 23, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9.22May 19, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$19.80May 19, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plovdiv host Eurovision 2027?$10.46May 19, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$17.63May 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$157.06May 17, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$29.29May 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.12May 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$49.69May 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.37May 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$48.18May 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.32May 13, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$52.63May 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$10.24May 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Apr 20, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GERB-SDS win between 55-59 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 10, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $22.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.