Flawed-Statistics
0x7013bb54f598e1ae6c779da266a2f7265384df10
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-116.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
212 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-107.81
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 13?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CYPRUS
Euro Basket: Cyprus vs Greece
6 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.01May 8, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aleksandre Topuria win by KO or TKO?$0.00Nov 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.73Nov 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aleksandre Topuria win by KO or TKO?$1.00Nov 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.00Nov 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$1.00Nov 17, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?$1.19Nov 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?$1.00Nov 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 13?$1.00Nov 11, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMDoge ETF approved in 2025?$0.00Nov 9, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.04Nov 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Nov 6, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.05Nov 6, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$0.15Oct 27, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMDern vs. Jandiroba$1.79Oct 27, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMVolkov vs. Almeida$2.78Oct 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAspinall vs. Gane$0.50Oct 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$1.00Oct 25, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".