Self-Reliant-Demand
0x703a60fae9d65af075b1a66ddd57bde08ca5cf39
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.03
Total PnL
$-208.72
Realised
$-38.62
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
67 shares @ 52.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$32.03
$-3.32
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
346 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.15
- NO
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
253 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.17
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
120 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-38.24
- NO
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
113 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-43.20
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
51 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$36.02Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$36.14Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.49Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 26, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$15.64Jul 26, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$15.66Jul 26, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$27.91Jul 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$28.00Jul 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$17.31Jul 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$37.31Jul 24, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$39.12Jul 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$39.03Jul 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$9.00Jul 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$9.05Jul 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$6.18Jul 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$6.15Jul 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$11.35Jul 23, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.96Jul 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$6.36Jul 23, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.