Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Probability
68¢
1h
+4.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$359.42
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1708h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 22.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1708.5h
- 19:32SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1708h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 68¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 21:00 (to 60¢).
Show all 27 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +8.0pp → 68¢
- 15:00 · +6.0pp → 68¢
- 14:00 · +4.5pp → 68¢
- 12:00 · +4.5pp → 68¢
- 05:00 · +3.5pp → 68¢
- 04:00 · -5.0pp → 68¢
- 00:00 · +4.5pp → 68¢
- 22:00 · -9.0pp → 60¢
- 21:00 · -13.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 61¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 61¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 62¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +9.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 71¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 62¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s July monetary policy decision, relAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowboi.org.il
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (22.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.