0x70547dce0daa7022818cd4cb20c2e19f9ab0404a
0x70547dce0daa7022818cd4cb20c2e19f9ab0404a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.27
Total PnL
$-97.87
Realised
$2.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$-2.54
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
950 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-28.63
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
79 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-11.12
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.05Mar 21, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.58Mar 19, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.00Feb 28, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$5.45Feb 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$4.95Feb 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$3.55Feb 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$8.85Feb 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$11.11Jan 18, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.50Jan 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Jan 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET$10.20Jan 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?$10.00Jan 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET$10.00Jan 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Jan 11, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.