Austere-Conspiracy
0x70632b70442dfcd6edccd1e41acdad912b603afe
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$207.77
Total PnL
$-303.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$58.89
$-41.11
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
794 shares @ 13.9¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.40
$-61.89
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$24.29
$-15.71
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
30 shares @ 22.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.66
$0.11
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 5, 20:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.24Jun 4, 21:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 3, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 3, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 3, 21:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $5.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".