Conscious-Scrap-Average
0x7072a2da888e39c2145aaaef50dac88a574ceb57
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-90.70
Win rate
0%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
2264 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-188.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
1837 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-135.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
1257 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
1210 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
820 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
538 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
309 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
202 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-47.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$1.05Jul 11, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.05Jul 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$31.17Jul 11, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$110.80Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100.49Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.72Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.41Jul 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.01Jul 7, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$250.00Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$51.20Jul 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$419.09Jun 28, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$150.38Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
49 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $113.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.