Digital-Sectional
0x707b82cc20dda40ec7ca4ae9981a014cfaa4c1a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$4.30
Total PnL
$-793.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 1–7?
2530 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.53
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Warriors
161 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Magic
126 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DODGERS
Phillies vs. Dodgers
108 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Grizzlies
108 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.03Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.02Jul 11, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$2.01Jul 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$1.00Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in June?$1.00Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.11Jun 30, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.60Jun 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.11Jun 26, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 25, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$1.00Jun 19, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.20Jun 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.20Jun 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in June?$1.00Jun 14, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$1.00Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$1.11May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$1.10May 22, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.30May 21, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.00May 9, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.