Infantile-Strawberry
0x70aa3a6a3f4eb4f8f35f27b842df8bb22c2064c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$17.92
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$0.45
- NO
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HURRICANES
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Jun 6, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$2.00Mar 7, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.15Mar 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.08Mar 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in January?$5.01Mar 7, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in January?$5.00Jan 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.00Jan 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$10.20Jan 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 20, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$1.10Jan 20, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$1.15Jan 20, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu vaccine in 2025?$1.27Jan 20, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$2.05Jan 20, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$11.18Jan 20, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$2.00Dec 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.45Dec 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?$2.01Dec 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.