Favorable-Wind
0x70ca82e8d4a6632ff8197de00ae1569e20ed334a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
27875 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-12.2K
- NO
Will the AP call the election by November 6?
9627 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2024$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
9409 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-479.86
- HARRIS
Who will win white women?
7391 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
7110 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-568.78
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
6942 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Texas move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
6611 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
6015 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.2K
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
4668 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 7?
4311 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMAssociated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?$3.0KSep 1, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$4.9KSep 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$479.87Nov 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0KNov 3, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAssociated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?$2.0KNov 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $1000.00Nov 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?$300.00Nov 3, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? $1000.00Nov 3, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$2.0KNov 3, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$317.04Nov 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$2.0KNov 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $1000.00Nov 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?$1000.00Nov 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.0KNov 3, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$1000.00Nov 3, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$568.78Nov 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0KNov 3, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 3, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win white women?$2.0KNov 3, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?$500.00Nov 3, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 1, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.