Entire-Hydrant
0x70cb2ac47a6ff58d68326f9a6fb556aec59053d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$133.50
Total PnL
$-192.26
Realised
$7.45
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
922 shares @ 4.3¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$132.25
$92.25
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$-3.75
- NO
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1067 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
230 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-62.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
116 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
93 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say Regime Change during his Iran address on June 21?
86 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
UFC 316: O'Malley and Harrison Parlay
68 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.