Severe-Stadium
0x70e0b46b0618676aa6d4564eb239164927a80edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-25.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?
1436 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-318.07
- YES
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
1347 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-578.45
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?
344 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-68.12
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
244 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
230 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-128.80
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$20.00Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$20.00Apr 5, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$50.70Aug 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$40.60Aug 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$33.97Aug 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$75.27Aug 17, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$210.40Aug 16, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$2.15Aug 16, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$2.15Aug 16, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?$128.80Aug 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$70.00Aug 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$24.17Aug 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$26.59Aug 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$12.39Aug 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$21.08Aug 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$155.50Aug 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$3.67Aug 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$2.00Aug 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$63.95Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.