Colorless-Grief
0x70f4caa2072d0943e439cfc476dda8af12304d0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$145.00
Total PnL
$15.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$129.05May 3, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$129.71May 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$123.35Apr 18, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$123.36Apr 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$116.00Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$116.00Apr 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$99.76Mar 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$99.75Mar 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$113.30Mar 18, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$113.30Mar 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$108.65Mar 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$108.66Mar 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$108.11Feb 25, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 30?$108.11Feb 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 30?$107.46Jan 30, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$107.45Jan 30, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$40.32Jan 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?$62.40Jan 10, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$102.72Jan 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$25.46Dec 22, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $91.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.