Subtle-Kayak
0x70f5b20e226548949b0c58f8546af7abdaa772f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$264.87
Total PnL
$-56.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
253 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$252.89
$0.25
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.98
$0.01
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
57 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.97
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
27 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?$252.66Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$7.83Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.10Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.61Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$17.19Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$7.81Mar 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$17.09Mar 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.41Mar 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$11.97Mar 7, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.02Feb 28, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.56Feb 12, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon reach $320 in January?$23.76Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by January 31?$24.90Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?$29.62Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?$29.59Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by January 31?$24.88Jan 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$54.97Jan 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon reach $320 in January?$23.71Jan 8, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$29.03Jan 8, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$29.00Dec 26, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $39.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.