Late-Decisionmaking
0x712933616e6d0a6d50b2156b357f58a37ffd6244
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.58
Total PnL
$-364.72
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
101 shares @ 59.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.58
$-48.42
- NO
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?
434 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
262 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
157 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
157 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
140 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
138 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
118 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$60.00Mar 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$40.00Mar 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$15.00Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$51.28Mar 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.00Mar 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.00Mar 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$50.00Mar 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$40.00Mar 2, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$84.65Mar 2, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$28.00Feb 8, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$57.00Feb 8, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$21.00Feb 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$52.40Feb 6, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$25.00Nov 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$27.68Nov 5, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$9.60Nov 5, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$5.00Nov 4, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$10.00Nov 4, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $47.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.