Writhing-Photo
0x714a685b5454ea4d52979563bbafa77b8168ab2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$76.6K
Total PnL
$12.3K
Realised
$34.9K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
90142 shares @ 37.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$29.3K
$-4.5K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
32047 shares @ 77.4¢·now 70.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.6K
$-2.2K
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
400000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.4K
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
246307 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
60000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10054 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$-354.03
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-105.64
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
30000 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-6.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$25.18Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$18.87Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.6KJun 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.2KJun 15, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$9.71Jun 15, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$70.00Jun 15, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$90.00Jun 15, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.50Jun 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.50Jun 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$49.25Jun 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$71.10Jun 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$23.33Jun 15, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.70Jun 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.89Jun 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.70Jun 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.89Jun 15, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.70Jun 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.89Jun 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.70Jun 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.89Jun 15, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$32.3K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 14, 06:40 UTC → Jun 15, 06:16 UTC
- BUYFed rate hike in 2026?$8.9K@36¢Jun 15, 06:16 UTC
- BUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.3K@78¢Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
- BUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$14.1K@78¢Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$32.3K
3 trades
30d volume
$32.3K
3 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$23.4K · 72% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $94.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.