Shady-Butler
0x714e1a0b7045adda39440599b768e6c5c717beee
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-204.28
Realised
$29.94
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
594 shares @ 13.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$115.83
$35.83
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
97 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$88.13
$-3.97
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3077 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$75.38
$-4.61
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
76 shares @ 93.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$70.39
$-0.75
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
873 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$68.54
$-9.17
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
81 shares @ 92.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.18
$-8.38
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
54 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.78
$3.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.13
$2.24
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
54 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.64
$-1.34
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
48 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.62
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$33.41Jun 14, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$30.24Jun 11, 23:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$61.04Jun 10, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$15.62Jun 9, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.94Jun 9, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.38Jun 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.72Jun 9, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.97Jun 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$27.27Jun 8, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.12Jun 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.67Jun 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.59Jun 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.74Jun 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.62Jun 8, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $20.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.