Upset-Midnight
0x7150480445287e3df4286fbcaab18f64091594f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$8.45
Total PnL
$-233.11
Realised
$2.57
Win rate
74%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
51 shares @ 12.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.41
$0.91
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
109 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$-2.07
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1041 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
145 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
144 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the fight end in a draw?
99 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5$3.02May 24, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 24, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5$23.53May 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5$12.18May 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.36May 21, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.36May 21, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.43May 21, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.04May 21, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.58May 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04May 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.08May 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.79May 20, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.45May 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.06May 20, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.96May 20, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.44May 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.07May 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.05May 20, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".