Flawed-Praise-Avocado
0x715801637c788c797844c1f66fa237c81c277310
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$103.54
Total PnL
$-233.69
Realised
$-0.81
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
224 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
851 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$24.68
$-34.56
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 88.8¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.17
$-0.59
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 38.5¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.08
$-0.07
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
65 shares @ 8.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.77
$-2.97
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.54
$0.74
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 22.9¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.34
$0.05
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$0.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
10 shares @ 4.3¢·now 13.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.38
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$8.64May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$2.11May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$17.84May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$0.29May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$14.38May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$4.06May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$3.20May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.16May 18, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$2.65May 17, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$0.58May 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$0.45May 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38.62May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$27.30May 17, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$30.00May 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$42.72May 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$6.22May 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$0.92May 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$2.34May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$2.51May 17, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".