Crazy-Deposit
0x71738ea48053ce99f3c427ccc00d49968422c0f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.89
Total PnL
$-2.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.51
$-1.49
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.59
$-0.41
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$0.00Feb 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.00Jan 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Canada election called in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?$1.04Jan 14, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$1.06Jan 14, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.09Jan 14, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Canada election called in 2025?$6.06Jan 14, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.86Dec 23, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.48Dec 23, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?$10.00Dec 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.58Dec 23, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by November 30?$1.08Dec 6, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$1.56Dec 6, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$3.23Dec 6, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00Dec 6, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.