Baggy-Halibut
0x7174aeff560f94863ff3d627f721ef82c80221fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$389.15
Total PnL
$-307.47
Realised
$-2.56
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
220 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$219.50
$111.94
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
42 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$42.16
$2.61
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
38 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$38.25
$7.33
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
31 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.66
$1.93
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
28 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$28.37
$3.22
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
26 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.07
$1.69
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.40
$0.79
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$0.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
8431 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-107.35
- OVER
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
254 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-121.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$24.38Mar 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?$22.09Mar 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?$24.51Mar 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$22.33Mar 22, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$24.62Mar 22, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$25.15Mar 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$24.20Mar 22, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$25.20Mar 22, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$32.15Mar 22, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$28.04Mar 22, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$25.96Mar 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$24.73Mar 22, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$41.53Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$39.55Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$37.67Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$35.88Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$34.17Mar 21, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMKraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5$0.00Mar 20, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMKraken vs. Predators: O/U 5.5$162.68Mar 20, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5$0.60Mar 20, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".