Glossy-Path
0x718004fd7a853386c405ecf6b52de0c68149c905
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 23?
9132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 11?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Brewers
4118 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
103 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.74
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.93May 25, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 24, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.00May 16, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$4.9KMay 16, 04:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.0KMay 15, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.