Unkempt-Vol
0x7188aac9279ffacae8cbb659cc1a2535d81f3329
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$137.99
Total PnL
$-472.87
Realised
$-13.26
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
188 shares @ 66.6¢·now 73.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$137.99
$12.99
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
168 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
96 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
90 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
85 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.29Jul 20, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.69Jul 20, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the World Cup?$12.50Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.51Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.31Jul 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.50Jul 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.28Jul 15, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.88Jul 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.15Jul 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$5.07Jul 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.11Jul 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.11Jul 14, 12:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.