0x719d9a6eac73bb5934003c8c9bb69bd74c3acf0f
0x719d9a6eac73bb5934003c8c9bb69bd74c3acf0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$481.96
Total PnL
$171.11
Realised
$16.54
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.88
$109.94
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
163 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.86
$117.26
- YES
Stripe IPO before 2027?
398 shares @ 15.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.76
$-18.86
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
53 shares @ 49.6¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.08
$1.56
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
116 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.98
$0.58
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
73 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.93
$1.94
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
61 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.04
$1.05
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.56
$0.57
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.31
$0.32
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
51 shares @ 9.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$-2.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$4.00Mar 2, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$1.00Feb 19, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$3.66Feb 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$18.21Feb 14, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$13.38Feb 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$1.00Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$28.13Feb 12, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$3.00Feb 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$0.30Feb 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$52.49Feb 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$17.70Feb 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$51.06Feb 11, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$49.85Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$51.06Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$15.00Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$7.28Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$26.52Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$15.30Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$15.30Feb 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.20Feb 9, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.