Tense-Anesthesiology
0x71afaf5a5992739e51fa11caadd52109091ac057
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-909.63
Realised
$-15.08
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- NO
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?
3782 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.8K
$-1.89
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?
836 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$835.78
$0.42
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July?
700 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$699.64
$2.75
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.80 in July?
600 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$599.70
$3.80
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
400 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$399.40
$0.20
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in July?
232 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$231.81
$0.35
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?
200 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$199.90
$0.70
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
100 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.95
$0.45
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$399.26Jul 28, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in July?$3.8KJul 28, 05:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?$6.00Jul 27, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 20-26?$235.00Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 20-26?$10.00Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.70 July 20-26?$50.00Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 July 20-26?$5.01Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 July 20-26?$115.00Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 July 20-26?$674.50Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?$2.86Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.50 July 20-26?$691.04Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 July 20-26?$235.00Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.20 July 20-26?$5.01Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 July 20-26?$626.74Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.40 July 20-26?$601.88Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 20-26?$9.99Jul 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?$2.86Jul 26, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $404.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.