Pleasant-Thermometer
0x71bbd61ff9b2294b77c45926f56b6c698786a8c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.2K
Realised
$-13.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Utah make the College Football Playoff?
9985 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
4593 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 5?
4242 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 8?
4216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
3990 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
3982 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 4?
2126 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 4?
2124 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
2088 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.91
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
2088 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?$0.60Mar 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.96Mar 9, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.96Mar 9, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.0KMar 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?$0.01Feb 27, 14:28 UTC
- SPLITUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.0KFeb 27, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.0KFeb 27, 04:10 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.0KFeb 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KFeb 27, 03:54 UTC
- SPLITWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KFeb 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KFeb 27, 03:53 UTC
- SPLITWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KFeb 27, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.97Feb 27, 03:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.0KFeb 27, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?$0.91Feb 26, 08:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.0KFeb 26, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.0KFeb 26, 07:39 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.0KFeb 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0KFeb 26, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".